Wolfsburg vs Dortmund 29/10/2024

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Borussia Dortmund has an opportunity to break their disappointing run in an away match against VfL Wolfsburg in the German Cup tomorrow morning.

Time & Venue

  • Time: 19:45 GMT, October 29
  • Venue: Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg, Germany

Form

Wolfsburg earned a narrow 1-0 win over Koblenz to secure a spot in the second round of the German Cup against Borussia Dortmund. Ralph Hasenhuttl’s squad dominated with 78% possession and allowed only one shot on target.

However, the Wolves are experiencing a poor run of form, with just three wins from nine matches in all competitions this season. In the Bundesliga, they have only secured two victories.

In their last 10 matches, Wolfsburg has won 4, drawn 2, and lost 4, with a 40% win rate, 44% Asian handicap win rate, and a 67% over rate.

In their latest game, Wolfsburg was held to a 0-0 draw by newly promoted St Pauli despite creating two major scoring chances.

Wolfsburg’s home performance at Volkswagen Arena hasn’t been strong either, with Hasenhuttl’s team losing four and drawing once in their last five home games.

Still, a surprising result against Dortmund isn’t impossible for Wolfsburg, especially considering Dortmund’s recent struggles.

Arriving at Volkswagen Arena, Nuri Sahin’s squad has suffered two consecutive painful losses to Real Madrid in the Champions League and Augsburg in the Bundesliga, both due to being overpowered after taking the lead.

Dortmund’s appointment of Sahin to replace former manager Edin Terzic has garnered enthusiastic support from the Ruhr fans, but the Turkish coach is already under considerable pressure just three months into his tenure.

Dortmund currently trails Bundesliga leaders Bayern Munich by seven points after eight rounds. The Black and Yellows sit in seventh place with 13 points, having won 4, drawn 1, and lost 3 matches. Their Champions League campaign also faces challenges, as they rank 11th with six points after three group-stage matches.

Dortmund’s defense has been particularly vulnerable, failing to keep a clean sheet in their last seven games, conceding 18 goals in that time.

Their away form has been alarming as well, with four consecutive road losses, conceding 14 goals while scoring just five.

In their last 10 encounters with Wolfsburg, Dortmund has won 8, drawn 1, and lost 1, with an 80% win rate, 70% Asian handicap win rate, and a 60% over rate.

Squads:

Wolfsburg: The Wolves face significant squad losses ahead of the match, with six players almost certainly out due to injury: Aster Vranckx, Kevin Paredes, Mattias Svanberg, Maximilian Arnold, Rogerio, and Bartosz Bialek. Center-back Sebastiaan Bornauw is also questionable.

Dortmund: The visitors also face challenges, with seven players sidelined due to injuries, including Giovanni Reyna, Karim Adeyemi, Julien Duranville, Julian Ryerson, Niklas Sule, Waldemar Anton, and Yan Couto.

Midfielder Marcel Sabitzer is racing to recover in time, but coach Sahin is likely to rely on Kjell Watjen and Felix Nmecha in the central midfield.

Projected Lineups:

  • Wolfsburg: Grabara; Fischer, Vavro, Koulierakis, Maehle; Ozcan, Gerhardt; Baku, Wind, Tomas; El Amine Amoura
  • Dortmund: Meyer; Can, Luhrs, Schlotterbeck, Kabar; Watjen, Nmecha; Campbell, Brandt, Bynoe-Gittens; Guirassy

Statistics: On average, encounters between these teams see at least three goals per 90 minutes.

Dortmund has scored a total of 95 goals against Wolfsburg.

In their last 18 meetings with the Wolves, Dortmund has won 15.

Scoring & Conceding Rates:

Scoring and conceding rates for the last 30 matches.
Scoring and conceding rates for the last 50 matches.

Prediction:

Dortmund is eager for a win to stop their poor run, but their weak defense could lead to a tense match.

Score Prediction (According to Sports Mole): VfL Wolfsburg 2-3 Borussia Dortmund

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