Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich 30/10/2024

Watch here: https://flysporthd.com/live-sport/fsv-mainz-05-vs-bayern-munich-202410292345

Vincent Kompany and his squad are likely to secure an easy victory despite playing at MEWA Arena.

Time & Venue

  • Time: 19:45 GMT, October 30
  • Venue: MEWA Arena

Form

In Round 8 of the Bundesliga last weekend, Mainz 05 was held to a 1-1 draw by Borussia Monchengladbach. During the 90 minutes at MEWA Arena, Bo Henriksen’s team made 23 attempts on Moritz Nicolas’ goal but managed only one goal.

In their last 10 matches, Mainz 05 has won 2, drawn 4, and lost 4, with a win rate of 20%, an Asian handicap win rate of 30%, and a 40% over rate.

The recent form of “Die Nullfunfer” has also been unconvincing, as they’ve lost 3, drawn 1, and won 2 of their last 6 matches across all competitions, scoring 8 goals but conceding 9.

Another stat troubling Mainz 05 fans is their home record; in their last five home matches across all competitions, they’ve lost 4 and drawn 1.

In their last 10 matches, Bayern Munich has won 6, drawn 2, and lost 2, with a win rate of 60%, an Asian handicap win rate of 50%, and a 70% over rate.

Bayern Munich, the “Bavarian Giants,” recently shook off the disappointment of a 4-1 Champions League loss to Barcelona by defeating VfL Bochum 5-0, a win that temporarily lifted Kompany’s team to the top of the Bundesliga standings.

Following a strong start with his new club, the Belgian manager has started to feel the pressure mounting at Allianz Arena. In their last six matches across all competitions, Bayern Munich has won 2, drawn 2, and lost 2, showing a somewhat inconsistent form.

In their last 10 meetings, Bayern Munich has won 7, drawn 0, and lost 3, with a win rate of 70%, an Asian handicap win rate of 40%, and an 80% over rate.

Despite some defensive concerns, the “Bavarians” still boast impressive scoring power with 39 goals in 11 Bundesliga and Champions League matches.

Team News

Mainz 05

The home team will be without center-back Andreas Hanche-Olsen until the end of November, while Nikolas Veratschnig is also sidelined until early November.

Jonathan Burkardt and Nadiem Amiri will likely remain out until late next month. Armindo Sieb and Kaishu Sano are expected to partner with Hyun-Seok Hong in midfield.

On defense, Moritz Jenz, Maxim Leitsch, and Dominik Kohr are expected to start in front of goalkeeper Lasse Finn Riess.

Bayern Munich

The “Bavarian Giants” will be without Aleksandar Pavlovic, who is out until late December due to a broken collarbone. Hiroki Ito, Josip Stanisic, and Sacha Boey are also unavailable.

Sven Ulreich is likely to replace Manuel Neuer in goal, with Adam Aznou, Eric Dier, Dayot Upamecano, and Konrad Laimer forming a backline in front of him.

Serge Gnabry, Leroy Sane, and Thomas Muller are expected to play behind Mathys Tel, as Harry Kane may be rested after a busy stretch in the Bundesliga and Champions League.

Predicted Lineups

  • Mainz 05: Riess, Kohr, Jenz, Leitsch, Caci, Sano, Hong, Mwene, Nebel, Lee, Sieb
  • Bayern Munich: Ulreich, Laimer, Upamecano, Dier, Aznou, Kimmich, Goretzka, Sane, Muller, Gnabry, Tel

Statistics

  • In their last five home matches, Mainz 05 has lost 3 and drawn 2.
  • Last season, Harry Kane scored more goals against Mainz 05 than against any other club in the Bundesliga (4 goals).
  • Mainz 05 has lost 6 of their last 9 matches in the second round of the DFB-Pokal.

Goal & Concession Rates

Scoring and conceding rates for the last 30 matches.
Scoring and conceding rates for the last 50 matches.

Analysis

Despite Bayern Munich’s recent ups and downs, it wouldn’t be surprising if the “Bavarians” concede. However, with their superior squad quality, Kompany’s side is fully capable of winning at MEWA Arena.

Score Prediction (per Sportsmole): Mainz 05 1-3 Bayern Munich

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